W|Carbon: Low Carbon Fuel Credits Monthly - April 2025
CA, OR, & WA Market Color, Fuel Credit Prices, & Volumes Updates
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Table of Contents
Key Takeaways 2
California LCFS Credit Price/Volume Update 4
Oregon CFS Credit Price/Volume Update 7
Washington CFS Credit Price/Volume Update 9
Contact Information & Disclosures 11
Key Takeaways (Abridged)
California & Oregon Credit Prices Slide In March While Washington Prices Remain Flat
California: The average monthly price of LCFS credits dropped to $61/MT in March, down from $66/MT in March 2024 and $70/MT for the past four months. We note the decline is less severe relative to sharp drops seen since 2021 and that prices have...
Implementation of the November 2024 approved LCFS guidance remains delayed and is currently under review by the Office of Administrative Law (OAL), with a resolution expected following a public comment period which closes on 4/21. We note…
Oregon: CFP average monthly prices fell to $43.05 in March, a 13% decrease from February's $46.63/MT, marking the second lowest monthly average in the market's history. The price is down 56% year-over-year from March 2024's $97.88/MT. March credit volumes...
Washington: CFS average monthly prices remained relatively stable at $22.60/MT in March, a 1.8% increase from February's $22.19/MT, after a slight 3.2% decrease from January. The March CFS credit price is down 59% year-over-year from March 2024's $66.53/MT. March credit volumes...
Washington State's legislative and regulatory bodies addressed key aspects of the Clean Fuel Standard (CFS) with House Bill 1409 introduced to accelerate the state's carbon intensity reduction goals, aiming for a 20% reduction by 2034, four years ahead of the previous target. This change would require conventional fuel suppliers to...
W|Carbon Analysis: More stringent CI reductions in California and Washington are expected to...