W|Carbon - Alternative Fuel & Carbon Economic Research

W|Carbon - Alternative Fuel & Carbon Economic Research

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W|Carbon - Alternative Fuel & Carbon Economic Research
W|Carbon - Alternative Fuel & Carbon Economic Research
W|Carbon: Low Carbon Fuel Credits Monthly - April 2025

W|Carbon: Low Carbon Fuel Credits Monthly - April 2025

CA, OR, & WA Market Color, Fuel Credit Prices, & Volumes Updates

Apr 16, 2025
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W|Carbon - Alternative Fuel & Carbon Economic Research
W|Carbon - Alternative Fuel & Carbon Economic Research
W|Carbon: Low Carbon Fuel Credits Monthly - April 2025
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Table of Contents

  • Key Takeaways 2

  • California LCFS Credit Price/Volume Update 4

  • Oregon CFS Credit Price/Volume Update 7

  • Washington CFS Credit Price/Volume Update 9

  • Contact Information & Disclosures 11


Key Takeaways (Abridged)

California & Oregon Credit Prices Slide In March While Washington Prices Remain Flat

  • California: The average monthly price of LCFS credits dropped to $61/MT in March, down from $66/MT in March 2024 and $70/MT for the past four months. We note the decline is less severe relative to sharp drops seen since 2021 and that prices have...

    • Implementation of the November 2024 approved LCFS guidance remains delayed and is currently under review by the Office of Administrative Law (OAL), with a resolution expected following a public comment period which closes on 4/21. We note…

  • Oregon: CFP average monthly prices fell to $43.05 in March, a 13% decrease from February's $46.63/MT, marking the second lowest monthly average in the market's history. The price is down 56% year-over-year from March 2024's $97.88/MT. March credit volumes...

  • Washington: CFS average monthly prices remained relatively stable at $22.60/MT in March, a 1.8% increase from February's $22.19/MT, after a slight 3.2% decrease from January. The March CFS credit price is down 59% year-over-year from March 2024's $66.53/MT. March credit volumes...

    • ​Washington State's legislative and regulatory bodies addressed key aspects of the Clean Fuel Standard (CFS) with House Bill 1409 introduced to accelerate the state's carbon intensity reduction goals, aiming for a 20% reduction by 2034, four years ahead of the previous target. This change would require conventional fuel suppliers to...

  • W|Carbon Analysis: More stringent CI reductions in California and Washington are expected to...


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